Michael Sandler
Clipper Fund
by Marla Brill
MFI Publisher
It’s
easy for a mutual fund manager to look smart these days if his portfolio
contains shares of Philip Morris, which have risen like a smoke signal over the
last year.
But think back to late 1999, when the company’s tobacco
litigation woes spawned a media circus and market nightmare. By the end of
December, Philip Morris stock would be down 54 percent for the year. It was one
reason that Clipper Fund finished 1999 with a 2 percent loss, at a time when the
S&P 500 Index and technology funds were zooming. Even many of Clipper’s
peers in the large cap value group, though straggling behind growth funds, did
better.
As investors who had stuck with the stock for years
decided enough was enough and bailed out, Michael Sandler, co-manager of the
Clipper Fund, picked up some more. By the end of the year, the stock accounted
for 7.11 percent of assets. In Clipper’s annual letter to shareholder in
December 1999, Sandler and his co-managers felt compelled to justify the
presence of what they called "our most controversial stock.."
"As an operating business, Philip Morris is well
managed, remarkably profitable and cash generating," it read. "About
$3 billion of that cash was used to repurchase its own stock last year. As a
stock, it is statistically one of the cheapest available with a price/earnings
ratio of seven times and a yield of over 8 percent." As for litigation
concerns, the letter noted that appeal procedures ‘will reach far into the new
millennium" and that "a massive legal judgement is unlikely to be
allowed to shut down an entire industry which serves 45 million customers and
provides over $27 billion in annual government revenue."
"A lot of people I knew, even a few who work with me,
didn’t believe those arguments were enough to make investors overlook the
litigation threat," says Sandler. "A lot of them have changed their
minds."
"Stick to your guns," the mantra for true value
investors, applies in spades to Sandler and Clipper co-managers James Gipson,
Bruce Veaco, and Peter Quinn. As other value funds edged into growthier stocks
in the late 1990s, and said it was appropriate to do so to change with the
times, Clipper’s managers kept loading up on market castoffs like Philip
Morris. That faithful tenacity looked more like sheer stubbornness from 1996
through 1999, when the fund failed to keep pace with the S&P 500 Index..
But shareholders who stuck things out are probably glad
they did. Last year, the fund scored a total return of 37.4 percent, as the
S&P 500 sank into negative territory. As of March 9, Clipper was up 3
percent year-to-date, compared to a drop of 6.4 percent for the index.
Heel-dragging in strong bull markets, as well as solid
returns in sideways and down markets, is a fairly recognizable pattern in a true
value fund. In Clipper’s case, Sandler and his team use a deep value strategy
that centers around what a rational private buyer would pay for a similar
business. If a stock is selling for at least 30 percent less than this
"intrinsic" value," which they calculate with their own valuation
models, it piques their interest. The focus is on dominant companies generating
excess cash flow that are out of favor with investors.
Examining public companies though a private prism comes
naturally to Clipper’s management team, most of whom cut their teeth in
private industry before joining Pacific Financial Research, which Gipson founded
in 1980. Sandler’s hard-to-place accent is a product of growing up in South
Africa, where he lived until he moved to the United States to attend the
University of Iowa in 1974. He went on to get a law degree there, and joined
International Harvester in 1981 as a "manager of asset redeployment"—the
company’s euphemistic title for the person charged with liquidating the
company’s assets. "Eventually," he says, "I liquidated myself
out of a job."
But not before he learned about how to value a company
from the inside out, which was one reason James Gipson invited him to join his
fledgling firm in 1984. Gipson, a former US Navy officer, had worked as a
management consultant at McKinsey & Co. and as a portfolio manager for
Batterymarch Financial before founding the firm. Gipson and Sandler have
co-managed Clipper Fund since its inception in 1984. Bruce Veaco, a certified
public accountant who once worked with Price Waterhouse, joined the team in
1986. Peter Quinn came to Pacific Financial Research in 1987 immediately after
getting his MBA.
Next:
Few bargains around for Sandler's bargain basement.
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