MARLA'S
MUSINGS
. . . from the Publisher of Brill's Mutual Funds
Interactive®
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When Cash Isn't
King
by Marla Brill
Publisher, Brill’s Mutual Funds Interactive
 While most
people shopping for a stock mutual fund look at things like performance or
risk, far fewer find out how much a fund has parked in cash equivalents such
as certificates of deposit, commercial paper, or Treasury securities. Yet
unless you know the reasons behind an unusually large cash stash, you could
be walking into a booby trap with blindfolds on.
To understand why, it helps to go back a decade or
so, when many fund managers viewed their role as two-fold: picking the
right stocks, and deciding when to be in or out of the stock market.
When their view turned bearish, they would sell stocks and put more
money into cash. In bullish times, they would keep most of their fund
assets in stocks.
These days, the majority of equity fund managers
remain fully invested in the stock market. "Typically, a fund
retains some cash on hand to meet redemptions," says Ramy Shaalan,
mutual fund analyst at Wiesenberger, Thompson Financial. "But it’s
usually no more than 10 percent of total assets."
Managers today generally believe their job is to
pick the right securities, not decide when to be in or out of the
market. The change in thinking occurred, in part, because some managers
got caught sitting on the sidelines with too much cash in their coffers
during bull markets. With so much money out of play, fund performance
lagged. Such a fate befell the Warburg Pincus Growth & Income Fund,
a few years ago.
The fund showed its best colors between 1992 and
1994, when manager Anthony Orphanos’s defensive investment maneuvers,
which included moving large amounts of money into cash equivalents,
served him well in an uncertain stock market. But the strategy backfired
in 1995 and 1996 as the bull charged ahead, and the fund got left
behind. Not surprisingly, the fund’s next manager, Brian Posner,
pledged to keep the fund fully invested.
More recently, Foster Friess of Brandywine fund
kept a big cash pile in 1997 and 1998, a move that led to significant
under-performance against his mid-cap growth peers in those years. His
decision to put the piggybank back to work last year, though somewhat
belated, breathed new life into the fund.
Another reason most stock funds don’t move
aggressively into cash is the increasing use of asset allocation,
particularly among financial advisors. Having a fund that doesn’t
"stick to its knitting" by wandering into money market
securities can create havoc in the kind of neatly-arranged asset
allocation plan professionals favor.
Still, while fully invested is the mantra for most
stock funds, a significant number have 20 percent or more of their
assets in cash equivalents. The accompanying chart, compiled for Brill’s
Mutual Funds Interactive by Wiesenberger, Thomson Financial, indicates
that there were 218 of them at the end of 1999.
It’s not necessarily a bad thing if a fund has
lots of cash from time to time. What’s important to recognize is why
the fund has positioned itself that way. It is often for one of these
reasons:
- A new offering. Funds just starting out
may be cash rich for a short time before the manager lines up his
investment ducks.
- Lots of buzz. Funds often experience a
huge influx of cash when they’ve become extremely popular, usually
because of strong performance and accompanying publicity. If the cash
allocation stays over 10 percent or so for several months, it may mean
that the manager is having a hard time figuring out what to do with the
flood of new money. This is particularly true for a fund that invests in
stocks of smaller companies, where liquidity issues often arise as a
fund gets bigger.
- A fund’s stocks have soared. Cash
positions often increase when portfolio managers take profits,
particularly toward the end of the year. Unless there is a dearth of new
ideas, the money should be put back to work fairly quickly.
- The manager is playing defense. Despite
the industry’s fully invested mantra, some stock fund managers still
believe they should decide when to be in or out of the stocks market,
using cash as a defensive maneuver. In a bull market, shareholders in
such funds can find themselves treading water if the call isn’t right.
Click here
for funds with lots of cash.
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