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Learn From Your Investment
Mistakes
by Alan Lavine and Gail Liberman
When
it comes to investing, we all seem to make the same mistakes. Hopefully, we can
learn from them.
John Nofsinger, a behavioral finance expert and author of
"Investment Blunders of the Rich and Famous (Prentice Hall)," says our foul-ups
fit into three categories.
* Psychological bias. We are overconfident in our
ability to pick the best stocks, bonds or mutual funds. If we're wrong, we hang
onto our losing investments in the hope that they'll bounce back. We don't want
to admit that we failed. Or, we give up responsibility by hiring others to
manage our money. Then we don't pay attention to what they are doing.
* Emotional. We invest based on emotion--often fear
and greed--instead of facts. For example, we might invest hoping our stock or
bond fund will go up--not based on the financial strength of the company, its
earnings and the outlook for the economy.
* Simplification. We see patterns in random events,
such as stock price movements. Then we make investment decisions based on false
patterns.
The desire to beat the market can lead to all sorts of
money-losing problems. They range from chasing mutual funds based on past
performance to succumbing to get-rich-quick schemes. Even a good mood can prove
damaging when it comes to investing. Optimism tends to make investors less
analytical and more likely to take bigger risks, he says.
Nofsinger cites research that shows the popular investment
strategies--relying on market timing, investment analyst or newsletter advice,
mutual fund rankings, and tracking of insider trading--don't work very long.
Research also demonstrates the limitations of relying on
professional money managers. Pros make the same behavioral mistakes as
individual investors.
Now that we know what's wrong, how do we fix it? Most
investors spend too much time selecting securities and timing the markets,
Nofsinger says. But he points out that 90 percent of an investor's return is
based on how they allocate assets. The trick is to own different assets to
spread your risk. A simple mix of 50 percent stocks and 50 bonds, for example,
is half as risky as a 100 percent stake in the stock market.
Investors also need to be more realistic in their
expectations of what they will earn in the stock market, he says. They should
save more and minimize investment expenses. They should invest in stocks, bonds
cash and real estate. They should also hedge against inflation by investing in
real estate, precious metals and inflation-indexed Treasury bonds.
Alan Lavine and Gail Liberman are
husband-wife personal finance columnists, journalists and authors.
They are the authors of "The Complete Idiot's Guide to Making
Money with Mutual Funds," published by Alpha Books. Their
columns appear in newspapers throughout New England and the
Southeast, as well as online. Their commentary on mutual funds and
personal finance is carried by 200 radio stations nationwide every
Sunday over Business News Network's Charles DeRose Financial Advisor
Show.
More articles by Al and Gail can be
found here.
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